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1 Unpopular Stock That Deserves Some Love and 2 We Avoid

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Wall Street has issued downbeat forecasts for the stocks in this article. These predictions are rare - financial institutions typically hesitate to say bad things about a company because it can jeopardize their other revenue-generating business lines like M&A advisory.

Whatever the consensus opinion may be, our team at StockStory cuts through the noise by conducting independent analysis to determine a company’s long-term prospects. Keeping that in mind, here is one stock poised to prove Wall Street wrong and two facing legitimate challenges.

Two Stocks to Sell:

Origin Bancorp (OBK)

Consensus Price Target: $58.60 (6.9% implied return)

Founded in 1912 during the early boom days of Louisiana banking, Origin Bancorp (NYSE: OBK) is a financial holding company that provides personalized banking services to businesses, municipalities, and individuals across Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi.

Why Are We Wary of OBK?

  1. 8.7% annual revenue growth over the last five years was slower than its banking peers
  2. Performance over the past five years shows its incremental sales were less profitable, as its 1.5% annual earnings per share growth trailed its revenue gains
  3. Estimated tangible book value per share growth of 8.7% for the next 12 months implies profitability will slow from its two-year trend

Origin Bancorp’s stock price of $54.84 implies a valuation ratio of 1.3x forward P/B. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including OBK in your portfolio.

Citizens Financial Group (CFG)

Consensus Price Target: $80.59 (9.2% implied return)

Tracing its roots back to 1828 as a community-focused institution, Citizens Financial Group (NYSE: CFG) is a regional bank that provides retail and commercial banking services to individuals, small businesses, and large corporations across 14 states.

Why Are We Cautious About CFG?

  1. Muted 6.6% annual net interest income growth over the last five years shows its demand lagged behind its banking peers
  2. Performance over the past five years shows its incremental sales were less profitable as its earnings per share were flat
  3. Capital trends were unexciting over the last five years as its 2.3% annual tangible book value per share growth was below the typical banking firm

At $73.80 per share, Citizens Financial Group trades at 1.2x forward P/B. If you’re considering CFG for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

One Stock to Buy:

Kinsale Capital Group (KNSL)

Consensus Price Target: $349.78 (-5.8% implied return)

Founded in 2009 during the aftermath of the financial crisis when many insurers were retreating from riskier markets, Kinsale Capital Group (NYSE: KNSL) is an insurance company that specializes in writing policies for hard-to-place, unusual, or high-risk businesses that standard insurers typically avoid.

Why Are We Bullish on KNSL?

  1. Strong 16.3% annualized net premiums earned expansion over the last two years shows it’s capturing market share this cycle
  2. Share repurchases have amplified shareholder returns as its annual earnings per share growth of 40.6% exceeded its revenue gains over the last five years
  3. Annual book value per share growth of 28.6% over the last two years was superb and indicates its capital strength increased during this cycle

Kinsale Capital Group is trading at $371.18 per share, or 3.8x forward P/B. Is now the right time to buy? See for yourself in our full research report, it’s free.

Stocks We Like Even More

ALSO WORTH WATCHING: Top 5 Momentum Stocks. The best time to own a great stock is when the market is finally noticing it. These aren’t just high-quality businesses. Something is happening with them right now. Elite fundamentals meet near-term momentum — both boxes checked at the same time.

Find out which stocks our AI platform is flagging this week. See this week’s Strong Momentum stocks — FREE. Get Our Strong Momentum Stocks for Free HERE.

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,460% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,552% between June 2020 and June 2025). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

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