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MTSI Q2 Deep Dive: Data Center and Defense Demand Propel Growth, Guidance Highlights Momentum

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Network chips maker MACOM Technology Solutions (NASDAQ: MTSI) beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q1 CY2026, with sales up 22.5% year on year to $289 million. On top of that, next quarter’s revenue guidance ($335 million at the midpoint) was surprisingly good and 11.6% above what analysts were expecting. Its non-GAAP profit of $1.09 per share was 1.6% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy MTSI? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

MACOM (MTSI) Q1 CY2026 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $289 million vs analyst estimates of $285.4 million (22.5% year-on-year growth, 1.2% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.09 vs analyst estimates of $1.07 (1.6% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $89.47 million vs analyst estimates of $93.59 million (31% margin, 4.4% miss)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q2 CY2026 is $335 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $300.1 million
  • Adjusted EPS guidance for Q2 CY2026 is $1.34 at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $1.15
  • Operating Margin: 17.6%, up from 14.8% in the same quarter last year
  • Inventory Days Outstanding: 184, up from 181 in the previous quarter
  • Market Capitalization: $25.84 billion

StockStory’s Take

MACOM’s second quarter results for 2026 were met with a notably positive market response, reflecting ongoing strength across its core end markets. Management emphasized robust customer demand in Data Center, Industrial, and Defense, all of which contributed to significant year-over-year growth. CEO Stephen Daly credited increased bookings—particularly in Data Center, where both revenue and backlog reached new highs—and pointed to operational improvements that enhanced gross and operating margins. Daly explained, “Our strategy of strengthening core technologies and expanding our product portfolio is working, allowing us to capture new opportunities as demand accelerates.”

Looking ahead, MACOM’s guidance for the next quarter is underpinned by expectations of continued momentum in Data Center and Industrial & Defense, supported by ongoing innovation and expanding customer programs. Management anticipates further ramp-up in Data Center driven by higher-speed optical products and growing interest in coherent light solutions. Daly noted, “We are positioned to benefit from AI-driven market growth and new product introductions, with our backlog providing strong visibility for the remainder of the year.” CFO John Kober also signaled sequential improvements in gross margins and profitability, citing disciplined investment in capacity and R&D.

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management attributed Q2’s strong results to accelerated demand in Data Center, solid execution in Industrial & Defense, and strategic investments in new technologies and capacity expansion.

  • Data Center momentum: MACOM reported record bookings and revenue in Data Center, driven by demand for optical modules and higher-speed products such as 800G and 1.6T PAM4. Management highlighted that growth was fueled by expanding relationships with hyperscale customers and the company’s ability to support multiple optical architectures, including NRZ, PAM4, and coherent modulation.
  • Industrial & Defense strength: The Industrial and Defense segment saw continued growth, with Daly citing increased demand for semiconductor content in defense applications like radar, missile systems, and electronic warfare. The company’s ability to engage early in customer design cycles and offer domestic manufacturing has been a differentiator as defense customers focus on supply chain security.
  • Telecom steady with future upside: While Telecom growth was moderate this quarter, management expects momentum to build in coming periods, especially as low earth orbit (LEO) satellite programs transition into full-rate production. MACOM’s product portfolio for satellite payloads, gateways, and emerging user equipment is broadening, supporting future growth.
  • Operational improvements: Ongoing investments in fab capacity, yield enhancements, and process improvements in facilities in North Carolina, Massachusetts, and France have contributed to better gross margins and positioned the company to meet rising demand without major new capital projects.
  • Strategic supply chain moves: MACOM’s recent investment in U.K.-based IQE secures long-term access to critical materials like indium phosphide and silicon carbide, reducing supply risk as the business scales. This agreement is expected to support growth in advanced optical and power products and underpins the company’s confidence in meeting future demand.

Drivers of Future Performance

MACOM’s forward guidance rests on expanded product adoption in Data Center and Defense, operational leverage from capacity investments, and sustained customer demand across end markets.

  • Data Center product expansion: Management expects continued strength from new optical and photonic products, with heightened AI-driven demand and customer upgrades to higher bandwidth driving revenue. The company is investing in next-generation photodetectors and coherent light solutions, aiming to capture share in both established and emerging applications.
  • Defense and Industrial pipeline: MACOM anticipates robust order flow from defense customers, particularly as design wins in radar and electronic warfare systems convert to production. The company’s domestic manufacturing and early customer engagement are expected to support above-market growth in this segment.
  • Margin and capacity discipline: Sequential gross margin improvements are expected as factory utilization rises, with capital expenditures remaining disciplined. Management noted risks related to supply chain disruptions and material costs, but recent strategic agreements—such as the IQE partnership—are intended to mitigate these challenges and ensure supply resilience.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the quarters ahead, the StockStory team will watch for (1) sustained growth in Data Center revenue driven by adoption of new optical and photonic products, (2) evidence that MACOM can maintain sequential margin improvement as factory utilization rises, and (3) continued momentum in defense order flow, especially as recent design wins move into production. The successful execution of the IQE supply agreement and incremental capacity expansion will also be important indicators of MACOM’s ability to capitalize on rising demand.

MACOM currently trades at $338.02, up from $309.81 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

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