
Shareholders of ZoomInfo would probably like to forget the past six months even happened. The stock dropped 46.4% and now trades at $6.32. This might have investors contemplating their next move.
Is there a buying opportunity in ZoomInfo, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Get the full stock story straight from our expert analysts, it’s free.
Why Do We Think ZoomInfo Will Underperform?
Despite the more favorable entry price, we're sitting this one out for now. Here are three reasons there are better opportunities than GTM and a stock we'd rather own.
1. Billings Hit a Plateau
Billings is a non-GAAP metric that is often called “cash revenue” because it shows how much money the company has collected from customers in a certain period. This is different from revenue, which must be recognized in pieces over the length of a contract.
Over the last year, ZoomInfo failed to grow its billings, which came in at $365 million in the latest quarter. This performance was underwhelming and shows the company faced challenges in acquiring and retaining customers. It also suggests there may be increasing competition or market saturation. 
2. Projected Revenue Growth Shows Limited Upside
Forecasted revenues by Wall Street analysts signal a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.
Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect ZoomInfo’s revenue to stall, close to its 21.1% annualized growth for the past five years. This projection is underwhelming and implies its newer products and services will not catalyze better top-line performance yet.
3. Cash Flow Margin Set to Decline
If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.
Over the next year, analysts predict ZoomInfo’s cash conversion will fall. Their consensus estimates imply its free cash flow margin of 36.4% for the last 12 months will decrease to 31.7%.
Final Judgment
ZoomInfo falls short of our quality standards. Following the recent decline, the stock trades at 1.5× forward price-to-sales (or $6.32 per share). While this valuation is fair, the upside isn’t great compared to the potential downside. There are more exciting stocks to buy at the moment. We’d recommend looking at one of our top digital advertising picks.
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