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Lamb Weston (NYSE:LW) Delivers Impressive Q1 CY2026

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Potato products company Lamb Weston (NYSE: LW) beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q1 CY2026, with sales up 2.9% year on year to $1.56 billion. The company expects the full year’s revenue to be around $6.5 billion, close to analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.72 per share was 17.4% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy Lamb Weston? Find out by accessing our full research report, it’s free.

Lamb Weston (LW) Q1 CY2026 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.56 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.49 billion (2.9% year-on-year growth, 5.2% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.72 vs analyst estimates of $0.61 (17.4% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $271.7 million vs analyst estimates of $257.7 million (17.4% margin, 5.4% beat)
  • The company slightly lifted its revenue guidance for the full year to $6.5 billion at the midpoint from $6.45 billion
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $1.11 billion at the midpoint, in line with analyst expectations
  • Operating Margin: 8.1%, down from 16.4% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow was -$36.3 million compared to -$19.8 million in the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue rose 3% year on year (beat)
  • Sales Volumes rose 7% year on year (9% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $5.87 billion

Company Overview

Best known for its Grown in Idaho brand, Lamb Weston (NYSE: LW) produces and distributes potato products such as frozen french fries and mashed potatoes.

Revenue Growth

A company’s long-term sales performance is one signal of its overall quality. Any business can experience short-term success, but top-performing ones enjoy sustained growth for years.

With $6.52 billion in revenue over the past 12 months, Lamb Weston is one of the larger consumer staples companies and benefits from a well-known brand that influences purchasing decisions.

As you can see below, Lamb Weston’s sales grew at a decent 10.7% compounded annual growth rate over the last three years as consumers bought more of its products.

Lamb Weston Quarterly Revenue

This quarter, Lamb Weston reported modest year-on-year revenue growth of 2.9% but beat Wall Street’s estimates by 5.2%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to remain flat over the next 12 months, a deceleration versus the last three years. This projection doesn't excite us and indicates its products will face some demand challenges.

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Volume Growth

Revenue growth can be broken down into changes in price and volume (the number of units sold). While both are important, volume is the lifeblood of a successful staples business as there’s a ceiling to what consumers will pay for everyday goods; they can always trade down to non-branded products if the branded versions are too expensive.

To analyze whether Lamb Weston generated its growth (or lack thereof) from changes in price or volume, we can compare its volume growth to its organic revenue growth, which excludes non-fundamental impacts on company financials like mergers and currency fluctuations.

Over the last two years, Lamb Weston’s average quarterly volume growth was a healthy 2.6%. In the context of its flat organic sales, however, we can deduce its increased volume has come at the expense of some price cuts and discounting. Lower selling prices, regardless of a company’s quality, are a headwind to higher profit margins.

Lamb Weston Year-On-Year Volume Growth

In Lamb Weston’s Q1 2026, sales volumes jumped 7% year on year. This result was an acceleration from its historical levels, certainly a positive signal.

Key Takeaways from Lamb Weston’s Q1 Results

We were impressed by how significantly Lamb Weston blew past analysts’ organic revenue expectations this quarter. We were also glad its revenue outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its full-year revenue guidance was in line. Overall, we think this was a decent quarter with some key metrics above expectations. The stock remained flat at $42.63 immediately after reporting.

Indeed, Lamb Weston had a rock-solid quarterly earnings result, but is this stock a good investment here? If you’re making that decision, you should consider the bigger picture of valuation, business qualities, as well as the latest earnings. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here (it’s free).

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