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Unpacking Q4 Earnings: Gray Television (NYSE:GTN) In The Context Of Other Consumer Discretionary - Broadcasting Stocks

GTN Cover Image

As the Q4 earnings season comes to a close, it’s time to take stock of this quarter’s best and worst performers in the consumer discretionary - broadcasting industry, including Gray Television (NYSE: GTN) and its peers.

The Consumer Discretionary sector, by definition, is made up of companies selling non-essential goods and services. When economic conditions deteriorate or tastes shift, consumers can easily cut back or eliminate these purchases. For long-term investors with five-year holding periods, this creates a structural challenge: the sector is inherently hit-driven, with low switching costs and fickle customers. As a result, only a handful of companies can reliably grow demand and compound earnings over long periods, which is why our bar is high and High Quality ratings are rare. Broadcasting companies produce and distribute television and radio content, generating revenue primarily through advertising and, in some cases, retransmission fees (payments cable and satellite operators make to carry local channels). Tailwinds include resilient demand for live sports and event programming, which commands premium ad rates, and political advertising during election cycles. Headwinds, however, are substantial: secular cord-cutting (consumers canceling traditional pay-TV subscriptions) is shrinking linear audiences, digital platforms are capturing an increasing share of advertising budgets, and content production costs continue to rise. Regulatory scrutiny over media consolidation and spectrum ownership further constrains strategic flexibility.

The 7 consumer discretionary - broadcasting stocks we track reported a satisfactory Q4. As a group, revenues beat analysts’ consensus estimates by 1.5% while next quarter’s revenue guidance was 0.6% below.

Amidst this news, share prices of the companies have had a rough stretch. On average, they are down 6.3% since the latest earnings results.

Gray Television (NYSE: GTN)

Specializing in local media coverage, Gray Television (NYSE: GTN) is a broadcast company supplying digital media to various markets in the United States.

Gray Television reported revenues of $792 million, down 24.2% year on year. This print exceeded analysts’ expectations by 1.5%. Despite the top-line beat, it was still a mixed quarter for the company with a solid beat of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates but a significant miss of analysts’ EPS estimates.

Hilton Howell, Jr., Chairman and CEO, commented, “We delivered strong fourth quarter financial results, with revenue and Adjusted EBITDA exceeding consensus expectations. The quarter benefited from better-than-expected MVPD subscriber trends, which drove year-over-year growth in “Net Retransmission Revenue” (retransmission consent revenue less network affiliation fees).

Gray Television Total Revenue

Gray Television delivered the slowest revenue growth of the whole group. The market was likely pricing in the results, and the stock is flat since reporting. It currently trades at $4.73.

Is now the time to buy Gray Television? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Best Q4: FOX (NASDAQ: FOXA)

Founded in 1915, Fox (NASDAQ: FOXA) is a diversified media company, operating prominent cable news, television broadcasting, and digital media platforms.

FOX reported revenues of $5.18 billion, up 2% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 1.8%. The business had a stunning quarter with a beat of analysts’ EPS and EBITDA estimates.

FOX Total Revenue

FOX pulled off the fastest revenue growth among its peers. Although it had a fine quarter compared its peers, the market seems unhappy with the results as the stock is down 16.8% since reporting. It currently trades at $58.45.

Is now the time to buy FOX? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Weakest Q4: iHeartMedia (NASDAQ: IHRT)

Occasionally featuring celebrity hosts like Ryan Seacrest on its shows, iHeartMedia (NASDAQ: IHRT) is a leading multimedia company renowned for its extensive network of radio stations, digital platforms, and live events across the globe.

iHeartMedia reported revenues of $1.13 billion, flat year on year, exceeding analysts’ expectations by 2.8%. Still, it was a softer quarter as it posted a significant miss of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates and a significant miss of analysts’ EPS estimates.

As expected, the stock is down 7.5% since the results and currently trades at $2.87.

Read our full analysis of iHeartMedia’s results here.

AMC Networks (NASDAQ: AMCX)

Originally the joint-venture of four cable television companies, AMC Networks (NASDAQ: AMCX) is a broadcaster producing a diverse range of television shows and movies.

AMC Networks reported revenues of $594.8 million, flat year on year. This print topped analysts’ expectations by 1.6%. It was a strong quarter as it also put up an impressive beat of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates and a solid beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

The stock is down 8.3% since reporting and currently trades at $6.88.

Read our full, actionable report on AMC Networks here, it’s free.

Paramount (NASDAQ: PSKY)

Owner of Spongebob Squarepants and formerly known as ViacomCBS, Paramount Global (NASDAQ: PSKY) is a major media conglomerate offering television, film production, and digital content across various global platforms.

Paramount reported revenues of $8.15 billion, down 5.1% year on year. This result met analysts’ expectations. Aside from that, it was a satisfactory quarter as it also produced an impressive beat of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates but a significant miss of analysts’ EPS estimates.

Paramount had the weakest performance against analyst estimates among its peers. The stock is down 9% since reporting and currently trades at $9.24.

Read our full, actionable report on Paramount here, it’s free.

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StockStory’s analyst team — all seasoned professional investors — uses quantitative analysis and automation to deliver market-beating insights faster and with higher quality.

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