
Generac’s fourth quarter results missed Wall Street’s expectations on both revenue and non-GAAP earnings, yet the market reacted positively as management highlighted accelerating momentum in its commercial and industrial (C&I) segment, particularly from data center customers. CEO Aaron Jagdfeld emphasized that while residential product sales were impacted by a historically low level of power outages, C&I product sales grew 10% year-over-year, driven by increased demand from data centers and ongoing partnerships with major hyperscale clients. Management also pointed to progress in new product launches and expansion of its dealer network as important operational developments.
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Generac (GNRC) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $1.09 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.16 billion (11.6% year-on-year decline, 5.9% miss)
- Adjusted EPS: $1.61 vs analyst expectations of $1.77 (9% miss)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $185.2 million vs analyst estimates of $197.8 million (17% margin, 6.4% miss)
- Operating Margin: -0.9%, down from 16% in the same quarter last year
- Market Capitalization: $13.7 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Generac’s Q4 Earnings Call
- Thomas Moll (Stephens) asked about timing and scale of data center contracts. CEO Aaron Jagdfeld confirmed pilot programs are underway, with supply agreements expected after successful completion, potentially boosting backlog in 2026.
- George Gianarikas (Canaccord) questioned the competitive landscape in data center backup power. Jagdfeld explained that market entry is limited by high barriers in engine manufacturing, and Generac’s supply chain agility provides an advantage.
- Jeffrey Hammond (KeyBanc Capital Markets) inquired about residential growth drivers and energy tech product headwinds. Jagdfeld detailed the impact of the Puerto Rico program ending and emphasized that next-gen products and pricing will drive most residential gains.
- Brian Drab (William Blair) pressed for margin expectations in the data center segment. CFO York Ragen guided to mid-teens EBITDA margins in 2026, improving with scale and vertical integration.
- Christopher Glynn (Oppenheimer) asked about the monetization of ecobee’s grid resiliency services. Jagdfeld noted it remains a small but growing recurring revenue stream, with grid service adoption by utilities lagging expectations.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the quarters ahead, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) the progress of pilot programs with hyperscale data center customers and any resulting long-term supply agreements, (2) the recovery of residential generator sales as outage activity normalizes and next-generation products roll out, and (3) the pace of profitability improvement in energy technology and ecobee solutions. Updates on additional capacity investments and execution on recent acquisitions will also be key areas of focus.
Generac currently trades at $233.08, up from $182.30 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
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