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American Financial Group (AFG) Q3 earnings: what to expect

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Insurance holding company American Financial Group (NYSE: AFG) will be reporting results this Tuesday after market close. Here’s what investors should know.

American Financial Group met analysts’ revenue expectations last quarter, reporting revenues of $1.90 billion, up 5.3% year on year. It was a mixed quarter for the company, with a beat of analysts’ EPS estimates but a miss of analysts’ net premiums earned estimates.

Is American Financial Group a buy or sell going into earnings? Read our full analysis here, it’s free for active Edge members.

This quarter, the market is expecting American Financial Group’s revenue to grow 6.5% year on year, a reversal from the 1.3% decrease it recorded in the same quarter last year.

American Financial Group total revenue

Analysts covering the company have generally reconfirmed their estimates over the last 30 days, suggesting they anticipate the business will stay the course heading into earnings. American Financial Group has missed Wall Street’s revenue estimates multiple times over the last two years.

Looking at American Financial Group’s peers in the property & casualty insurance segment, some have already reported their Q3 results, giving us a hint as to what we can expect. Markel Group delivered year-on-year revenue growth of 5.7%, beating analysts’ expectations by 10%, and RLI reported revenues up 5.3%, topping estimates by 0.5%. Markel Group traded up 1.2% following the results while RLI was also up 2.5%.

Read our full analysis of Markel Group’s results here and RLI’s results here.

There has been positive sentiment among investors in the property & casualty insurance segment, with share prices up 5.2% on average over the last month. American Financial Group is up 10.5% during the same time and is heading into earnings with an average analyst price target of $154.50 (compared to the current share price of $153.94).

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