America’s Car-Mart saw a notable market rebound after its third quarter results, despite reporting a larger-than-expected non-GAAP loss. Management attributed the positive market response to the early progress of a multi-phase cost reduction initiative, new underwriting technology, and improved operational efficiency. CEO Douglas Campbell emphasized the significance of recently completed store consolidations and headcount reductions, which are expected to generate meaningful ongoing savings. The company also highlighted resilience in consumer demand for used vehicles and the value of its upgraded digital payment platform. Campbell noted, “We are prioritizing value over volume to build a portfolio that delivers stronger returns.”
Is now the time to buy CRMT? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
America's Car-Mart (CRMT) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $350.2 million vs analyst estimates of $331 million (1.2% year-on-year growth, 5.8% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: -$0.79 vs analyst estimates of -$0.28 (significant miss)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $3.70 million vs analyst estimates of $13.48 million (1.1% margin, 72.5% miss)
- Operating Margin: -1.1%, down from 7.3% in the same quarter last year
- Locations: 154 at quarter end, in line with the same quarter last year
- Same-Store Sales were flat year on year (-8.4% in the same quarter last year)
- Market Capitalization: $222.6 million
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From America's Car-Mart’s Q3 Earnings Call
- John Hecht (Jefferies) asked about quantifying improvements in credit losses for newer loan vintages versus older ones. CFO Jonathan Collins explained that newer loans under LOS V2 are showing an 18% to 20% improvement in loss rates compared to pre-upgrade pools, but noted historical comparisons are complicated by changes in vehicle pricing and loan terms.
- John Hecht (Jefferies) inquired about the competitive landscape and whether smaller rivals were under increased pressure. CEO Douglas Campbell described a challenging environment for peers, with Car-Mart’s technology and capital access helping it to differentiate and benefit from less competition in some markets.
- John Hecht (Jefferies) sought management’s view on signals for a more constructive environment. Campbell stressed the need to control costs and pursue higher-quality customers, adding that flexibility and operational discipline are key as timing on external improvements remains uncertain.
- Kyle Joseph (Stephens) asked about the timing for rebuilding inventory given strong application flow and new capital. Campbell responded that Q3 will focus on inventory normalization to position the company for increased activity during the tax season in Q4.
- Vincent Caintic (BTIG) questioned the expected impact of store closures on sales and revenue retention. Campbell clarified that while about 10% of the store footprint is consolidating, early results suggest over 80% of sales from closed locations are being retained through nearby stores.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
Going forward, our team will watch for (1) the pace and effectiveness of further SG&A and store consolidation actions, (2) measurable improvements from the new digital collections and payment infrastructure, and (3) successful rebuilding of vehicle inventory to support higher sales during tax refund season. Additionally, we will monitor credit quality trends and any changes in the competitive landscape, as these will determine if Car-Mart’s operational changes yield sustainable margin recovery and growth.
America's Car-Mart currently trades at $26.83, up from $23.32 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
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