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The Top 5 Analyst Questions From MSCI’s Q3 Earnings Call

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MSCI’s third quarter results drew a positive response from investors, reflecting management’s view that strategic product innovation and expanding client segments were key drivers of growth. CEO Henry Fernandez highlighted the company’s 9% organic revenue growth and strong uptake in index-linked investment products, noting, “Total AUM in investment products linked to MSCI indexes reached $6.4 trillion globally.” New product launches in analytics and private credit, along with robust recurring sales to hedge funds and asset managers, contributed to momentum across the business.

Is now the time to buy MSCI? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

MSCI (MSCI) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $793.4 million vs analyst estimates of $793.9 million (9.5% year-on-year growth, in line)
  • EPS (GAAP): $4.25 vs analyst estimates of $4.06 (4.5% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $494.4 million vs analyst estimates of $496.4 million (62.3% margin, in line)
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $1.24 billion at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $1.90 billion
  • Operating Margin: 56.4%, up from 55.4% in the same quarter last year
  • Annual Recurring Revenue: $2.39 billion vs analyst estimates of $2.39 billion (8% year-on-year growth, in line)
  • Market Capitalization: $43.66 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From MSCI’s Q3 Earnings Call

  • Manav Patnaik (Barclays): Asked about MSCI’s strategy and opportunity in private credit data. CEO Henry Fernandez detailed recent product launches and partnerships, emphasizing the long-term potential but noting meaningful revenue growth is still ahead.
  • Toni Kaplan (Morgan Stanley): Inquired about quantifying AI’s impact on revenue and costs. Fernandez described AI as a major efficiency lever with significant cost savings and new product potential, but declined to provide specific margin forecasts.
  • Alexander Hess (JPMorgan): Sought clarification on non-ETF and fixed income AUM growth. CFO Andy Wiechmann explained that revenue can be lumpy due to client fee adjustments but stressed continued focus on custom solutions and innovation, particularly in climate-linked indices.
  • Faiza Alwy (Deutsche Bank): Asked about regional differences in net new sales, especially EMEA softness. Wiechmann acknowledged muted asset manager demand in Europe but highlighted strong ETF growth and ongoing product development targeting European client needs.
  • Owen Lau (Clear Street): Questioned AI’s potential to compress margins industry-wide. Fernandez argued that MSCI’s unique data and business model position it to benefit from AI, with anticipated margin expansion and reinvestment in growth.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

Looking ahead, our analysts will monitor (1) the pace of AI-driven product launches and efficiencies across MSCI’s core lines, (2) adoption and revenue contribution from private credit and wealth management solutions, and (3) stabilization or improvement in the sustainability and climate segment, particularly in Europe. The company’s ability to translate recent innovations into accelerating recurring sales will be a key signpost for sustained growth.

MSCI currently trades at $580.64, up from $546.87 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

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